February 4, 2008 - 8:48am
News

Clinton leads in every poll, albeit narrowly in most

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama in each independent poll released over the last four days – but in many with slim margins:

Quinnipiac 48%-43%
Norcross 44%-38%
McClatchy/MSNBC 46%-39%
Monmouth/Gannett 50%-34%
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby 43%-43%
Mason Dixon 46%-39%
SurveyUSA 51%-39%
Rasmussen 49%-37%

WALLY EDGE can be reached via email at politicsnj@aol.com.

Comments

The NORCROSS Poll?


SInce when did a poll underwritten by George Norcross become "an independent poll?"

02/04/08 9:40 am

Second Super Bowl


This should be an interesting race, although, for the record, Monmouth had it 50-36.  Most have spans of 5-14 points for Hillary -- I am not counting Zogby -- who, at times, is ethically challenged and is, at times, collossally wrong (see calling the election for Senator Kerry in 2004)  Spans of 5-14 are fairly normal variation in polling with the margins of error etc., but you cant count out a late Obama surge and or some crazy mixup with Obama's numbers (see SC and NH).  For these reasons, I think it is safe to say that going into Tuesday night we can say with very little confidence who will win here in NJ or nationwide.  Meaning, political junkies will have a second super bowl two just two days after the first.

--Saint Joe--

02/04/08 9:44 am