Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama in each independent poll released over the last four days – but in many with slim margins:
Quinnipiac 48%-43%
Norcross 44%-38%
McClatchy/MSNBC 46%-39%
Monmouth/Gannett 50%-34%
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby 43%-43%
Mason Dixon 46%-39%
SurveyUSA 51%-39%
Rasmussen 49%-37%
David Crabiel, the longtime Middlesex County Freeholder who died today at age 78, ran for Congress twice, both times without success. His first ... >
There's nothing more difficult to see than the history before your eyes. It sometimes takes generations to understand the significance of ... >
OK, he didn't say precisely that, but when the Chairman of the Budget Committee informs us that governmental spending is the key to prosperity, ... >
Score one for the Governor’s public relations team. For the last few weeks, they have been working overtime to fuel speculation Corzine was being ... >
I am pleased to report the results from the first national poll conducted by Environmental Studies Program in the College of Arts and Sciences at ... >
To view a larger version of this cartoon, click here. >
The media, which loves headlines and knows little history, is trying to sell President Elect Obama as another Franklin Delano Roosevelt. But that ... >
When I was eleven, way back in 1965, my family was invited for Thanksgiving to my cousins’ cousins, a Jewish-Italian family who lived in the ... >
Last week's fight between Henry Waxman and John Dingell for chairmanship of the powerful House Energy and Commerce committee also featured a less ... >
A couple of weeks ago, my mother, Angelina Katz, did her second debate on behalf of Barack Obama. A debate? My mother? If you knew her, you’d be ... >
A rained out MusicFest this past September has provided Union County with $275,000 in insurance monies. The Union County Board of Chosen Freeholders ... >
As New Jerseyans get ready to celebrate Thanksgiving the nation's economic outlook is indeed bleak, and there doesn't seem much to be ... >
The NORCROSS Poll?
SInce when did a poll underwritten by George Norcross become "an independent poll?"
Second Super Bowl
This should be an interesting race, although, for the record, Monmouth had it 50-36. Most have spans of 5-14 points for Hillary -- I am not counting Zogby -- who, at times, is ethically challenged and is, at times, collossally wrong (see calling the election for Senator Kerry in 2004) Spans of 5-14 are fairly normal variation in polling with the margins of error etc., but you cant count out a late Obama surge and or some crazy mixup with Obama's numbers (see SC and NH). For these reasons, I think it is safe to say that going into Tuesday night we can say with very little confidence who will win here in NJ or nationwide. Meaning, political junkies will have a second super bowl two just two days after the first.
--Saint Joe--