DCCC chief says LoBiondo is a target

If Glatt "challenges Munoz" this could be interesting... they are both from Summit and Munoz does very well in Summit. Glatt and Munoz could split the Summit vote... possibly leaving the Junior Assemblyman (Bramnick) vulnerable district-wide if Glatt performs strongly outside of Summit.

I think Glatt would be a stronger Democrat, I get the impression he is a little more moderate than Stender. Plus the further west you go in Union, the more appeal you have in Somerset and Hunterdon. The problem for the Democrats is that Giuliani or McCain will probably even win the Middlesex County part of this district.

2006 was really the year for the Democrats to pick off LoBiondo. They didn't come close, he is just too popular down there. The GOP needs to make sure Van Drew loses his Assembly seat before next year.

McCain's star is tarnished. He is so far up Bush's butt that he can't win in November 2008. He defends Bush virtually at every opportunity and it will be easy to tie him to the Iraq war. The best you guys have is Giuliani, but it remains to be seen whether he can get out of the primary. Oh, and as for the 2nd, Van Drew should have run this year: the writing's been on the wall for far too long that this was going to be a Democratic year.

Yeah Viola Thomas-Hughes was a borderline second-rate candidate whereas Van Drew has anchors in the most solidly GOP areas of the 2nd. I also think this district will go Republican for President (and Senate) in 2008.

Most of us would agree that the DCCC's money would be better spent in NJ-07, but I don't think money spent in LoBiondo's race is money lost. The DCCC barely contributed anything to NJ's Democratic challengers in '06, and LoBiondo is in a Democratic-leaning (and Dem-gaining) district. Viola-Hughes, in her own words, ran "just to have someone running" (or something akin), so a concerted campaign with a top or second-tier candidate and money from the DCCC could make this race competitive. The Dems need to do a better job of tying LoBiondo to the failed policies of the Bush administration, particularly the Iraq war, too.

Oh, the poignant and acerbic commentary from our anonymous friend, one who thinks the Iraq War is going well and that Tom Kean Jr. could defeat Menendez. Ferguson should be counting his blessings -- you know that -- as the Democratic Party gave almost no money to Stender, and she barely lost; he is a prime target in 2008 and is vulnerable. Of course, I never said that Sexton and Stender would win, just that they had a chance; I was wrong about the former, though he did cut Connoway's margin in half and did so with a 10-1 spending disadvantage against Saxton. LoBiondo's seat is going Dem after he retires; his seat could be vulnerable in 2008 with the right candidate, funding from the Dem establishment, and a better strategy.

I don't know what merits further mention because of the absurdity involved:
1). Theoc's faith that Ferguson will get his act together and win easily next time (This coming from someone who predicted a 9-point win!) or...
2). Her/his claim that "the national tidal wave is over" when it comes to Republicans losing power. Of course, the most recent Harris poll puts party affiliation for Dems at +9 and growing, and party affiliation for Republicans is down nationally. But all of that is water under the bridge for 'ole Theoc, who lives in her/his own private Idaho of conservatism!