PARAMUS -- Sitting at a conference table at IBEW Local 164's headquarters with congressionalcandidate Dennis Shulman, several labor officials and two reporters this morning, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-MD) was asked whether he planned to back up his visible support of Shulman with a significant amount of cash.
Hoyer, smiling, pulled an envelope out of his pocket and handed it to Shulman.
"Here's another $2,500. Talk is cheap, right?" said Hoyer. "It's not in the mail. It's in his pocket now."
It was the second $2,500 check that Hoyer's political action committee, AmeriPAC, had given to Schulman's campaign - something he said would be a taste of things to come if Shulman continues to run a vigorous campaign against three-term Rep. Scott Garrett in the fifth congressional district.
Things are looking up for House and Senate Democrats on a national level, and Hoyer's visit was meant to communicate both to union officials (many of whom had backed Schulman's Democratic primary opponent, Camille Abate), and political observers that national Democrats are paying more than lip service to putting the 5th Congressional District in play.
What's clear already is that this will be the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's (DCCC) third priority in the state, behind the open seat races where well-funded Democrats are hoping to take over for retiring Republicans in the 3rd and 7th districts. Shulman and Hoyer today worked hard to get the point across that Garrett, who is ranked among the most conservative members of Congress, is out of step with this "centrist" district.
"Dennis... is a bonus. We didn't see him coming along, and here we have an extraordinarily qualified individual who I think represents this district and has got an extraordinary life-story to tell people," said Hoyer. "We believe this is a race we're going to win, and that Scott Garrett doesn't represent the views of northern New Jersey. He may represent someone, somewhere, but not here."
Shulman does have an unconventional background. A rabbi and psychologist from Demarest who's been blind since childhood, he impressed national Democrats with early fundraising numbers that were competitive with Garrett's. But it's also a district that Democrats are wary of.
Northern Bergen County accounts for 63% of the district, which also is made up of parts of Passaic County and the Republican bastions of Warren and Sussex Counties. With the Democratic dominated county as its largest portion, the district may initially look ripe for the picking to outsiders. But three successive challenges against Garrett - by Anne Summers, Anne Wolfe and Paul Aronsohn - have failed to achieve more than a double digit loss. Even in 2006 -- a Democratic year -- Aronsohn received 44% of the vote to Garrett's 55%.
At least among some local Democrats and Bergen County Democratic operatives, that's led to a sense of futility and a hesitance to spend their resources against Garrett. But Shulman, citing national polls in which respondents said they'd prefer Democrats to keep control of Congress, along with factors unique to his own candidacy, said that attitudes towards this race have changed drastically in the last few months.
"It's both me and the times, and I think that even people in the BCDO will answer the question differently than they did in February," he said. "This is a winnable seat this time, and the only thing that will get in the way of me winning is people thinking that it's not winnable."
According to the latest FEC reports, Shulman has raised a total of $384,727 since kicking off his campaign in November, including $35,000 personal loan. He has $157,570 on hand. Garrett, meanwhile, has raised about this election cycle and has $508,523 on hand.
Labor officials plan to put considerable resources to work for Shulman. IBEW Local 164 Business Manager Richard K. Dressell said that retirees would be going door-to-door for Shulman during the day, while active union members would canvass at night. Many, he said, would work phone banks from headquarters.
Dressell offered the harshest criticism of Garrett.
"He's to the right of Gengis Khan. He's just arrogant. Indeed, he's aloof from the rest of the world," he said.
According to Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, national Democrats are looking at this district as well as about 75 others nationally. They're putting just a little bit of money in, and will reevaluate whether to spend more on it come September. Their hopes are also buoyed by three recent special elections Democrats have won in traditionally Republican districts.
But Shulman has a steep hill to climb. The portion of Bergen that makes up the district tends to lean Republican, which combined with the ultra-Republican Warren and Sussex Counties has made the last few campaigns a walk for Garrett. But national Democrats do recognize something different this time around.
"They're looking at this nationally. If they can build up a lot of enthusiasm for a Democratic presidential candidate, Senate candidate and two hot congressional seats, they may be able to ride a wave," said Murray. "They're going to spend a little bit of money - not a lot of money - and that's what we're seeing in the fifth right now. If they see that lightning strikes, they'll put more resources into it."
Hoyer seemed to acknowledge as much during his visit, but committed to another New Jersey visit before November to campaign for Shulman and Democratic congressional candidates Linda Stender and John Adler.
"Dennis is a hope for a new direction and a commitment to a new direction and a commitment to change. We believe the people of this district will respond positively to that, and as Dennis's poll numbers get better the answer is yes, we believe there will be a substantial contribution," he said.
Both Shulman and Hoyer portrayed Garrett - who has a 100% rating from the American Conservative Union - as to right-wing for the district, while Shulman sought not to identify himself as "someone who's committed all my life not to ideology, but to problem solving."
To conservative political consultant Rick Shaftan, Garrett's adherence to conservative ideology does not work to his detriment. There's no doubt, he admitted, that the public's mood has soured towards mainstream Republicans. But according to Shaftan, Garrett is different.
"He's separated himself from the national Republicans on a number of key issues," he said. "You have these conservative Republicans becoming Democrats because the Republican Party nationally is seen as standing for nothing at all, except the war."
Meanwhile, to Garrett Campaign Manager Amanda Gasperino, this all has a familiar tone.
“Every election cycle, the national Democrat party touts the local Democrat running in the 5th District.... And every election cycle, the outcome has always been the same," she said. "I hope by being here, Congressman Hoyer will gain a better understanding of the challenges facing New Jerseyans and will return to DC to focus on taking real action on problems like high gas prices and the Alternative Minimum Tax.”
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Dream on!
"This is a winnable seat this time, and the only thing that will get in the way of me winning is people thinking that it's not winnable." Yes, like voters in District 5. If we could only get rid of these voters, Democrats would certainly win.
Steny Hoyer
Is more detached from reality than the blind rabbi who cannot win!
With McCain at the top of the ticket the GOP for the first time since 1988 will have a fighting chance for victory in NJ.
Does anyone believe Obama is going to carry the 5th CD?
The delusional left will scream and holler the district is winnable, but never put forth any tangible evidence that this is the case.
Why do you think the Rotarian is now a councilman in Ridgewood?
Unless the BCDO and the Passaic Democrats targeted the race with a real candidate like Jerry Speziale, Dennis McNerney or Leo McGuire, this pipe dream of beating Scott Garrett will unfortunately continue with these second and third rate liberal candidacies.
Vote Column "A" - All the way!
While he's at it...
...maybe he should also consider investing in Edsel!
Democracy is an awful way to run a country, but it's the best system we have.- Winston Churchill
seriously
The House Majority leader is extremely optimistic. Congressman Garrett DOES represent the will of the people of the fifth congressional district. If he didn’t, he wouldn’t be re-elected. Northern Bergen is not going to show up for Shulman. Democrats are kidding themselves if they think they are going to win the fifth congressional district. Long shot rabbi Shulman will lose by double digits to the faithful servant of the people Rep. Scott Garrett.
The blind leading the blind
Have we not had enough of Anti American blind sheiks and clerics ?
Even though he's not my
Even though he's not my representative, I really like Garrett's waterproof conservative (i.e., responsible) fiscal record. Check out this direct quote:
"You know, it is awfully easy to be a generous individual if you are using somebody else's money, and basically that is what Congress does every single day of the year."
Careful, Careful...
Scott Garrett has beaten Democrats handily in the last 3 elections. This means two things:
1). That the bulk of the folks in Garrett's district either do hold his views, or are very put off by those who politically demonize him.
2). He provides good attentive constituent services.
In 1992, I was one of two private citizens that testified against the Health Insurance Reform Act at a State Senate Health Committee Hearing. I wrote followup letters to members of both the Senate and Assembly Health Committees. Garrett was then an Assemblyman. He was one of the very few, Democrat or Republican, who wrote a sincere, respectful sounding reply even though we were obviously on opposite sides of the issue and even though I did not even live in his district.
Language such as that employed above by IBEW's Richard Dressel ain't gonna do it. Democrats are going to have to find a civil, serious way of approaching the issues, explaining what Garrett's votes mean in both real dollars and cents as well as the effects of the policies he supports. Eliminate/reduce federal government? Okay, the next time a worker gets injured due to unsafe job conditions, it was Garrett's vote that resulted in gutting safety legislation and OSHA staff. Issues such as that. REAL issues that affect REAL people.
If he keeps the high road, and convinces his campaign to go after the issues, and not the man, then maybe Shulman has a chance...
Bergen is no counterweight
Bergen is no counterweight to Warren, Sussex and Passaic counties. Garrett has a long history of actually doing things, while Shulman...
has nothing.
Just like a certain Presidential candidate. Are the Dems just hoping that rhetoric is going to win them an election.
Hey Steny if you are giving away 2,300 dollars for kicks I know a few homeless people who could do a hell of a lot more with that money than Mr. Shulman will.
Man talk about the blind leading the blind.
Garrett wins by a landslide, again
Shulman and the democrats are p*ssing in the wind if they think that this district is winnable.
Have we not had enough of Anti American blind sheiks and clerics
Well Lonegan is no longer Mayor of Bagota, that's encouraging!
Garrett
I'm embarrassed that such a draconian fundamentalist as Scott Garrett, who voted against reauthorizing the Civil Rights Act, who voted against including sexual orientation for hate crimes, and who voted against financial aid to Katrina represents the state of N.J. in congress. Each week seemingly brings another wrongheaded vote by Garrett that blights the state.
Shulman has been gaining momentum and would be a much better representative than Garrett, who swings somewhere to the right of Santorum and Bush on multiple issues. I say go after Garrett with everything, win or lose, and regain some respectability in the 5th.
MartinOne: "Garrett, who
MartinOne: "Garrett, who swings somewhere to the right of Bush on multiple issues"
No kidding, considering Bush spending "liberally" in the federal budget (what, 20% increase during his tenure?) and Garrett fighting against pork barrel projects--publicly confronting Don Young (Mr. Bridge to Nowhere) on the floor of congress...
http://youtube.com/watch?v=isVYJa5qc7o&feature=related
Broy ,You Bigoted Piece of....
....rodent excrement.
If you are the typical Scott Garrett "supporter"; Shulman wins in a landslide.
In one brief "comment" (quoted below)............
>>>>>>"The blind leading the blind
Have we not had enough of Anti American blind sheiks and clerics ? 06/16/08 7:44 pm"<<<<<<<
..........you manage to be bigoted in at least three different ways.
Your remarks are the kind of crap I would expect from the Ku Klux Klan in the deep south of 1950; not from a Republican in New Jersey in 2008.
And shame on all the Garrett supporters who have not condemned your ugly un-American attempt to "divide and conquer".
Their silence, so far, is deafening!
Is it possible that the anonymous sleaze "Broy" is indeed a typical Scott Garrett supporter?
I call upon all Republicans on this board (and Scott Garrett himself) to condemn Broy's stupid ugly hateful bigoted comments.
And, conflating Dennis Shulman with a terrorist goes beyond simple bigotry; that move puts "Broy" in a category that transcends the gutter of anomymity, and the sewer of sludge.....such a horrendous libel is worthy of an investigation by homeland security as it's the kind of divisive "psyop" that I would expect from a real terrorist.
That's the kind of rhetoric that is a threat to all that is decent about being an American.....and "Broy" knows what a scumbucket she/he is; that's why she/he has to hide behind a pseudonym.
If you really believe that what you've said here is defensible; come out of the anonymous sewer "Broy" and show us who you really are......let's see if your sick pathetic "self" can stand some Sunshine.
Make our day.
From Frederick Douglass
It's not just the Republican commenters...
... with the deafening silence in response to these vile thoughts, but how much this and other disgusting, hate-filled comments are tolerated by the site owners/moderators.
Garrett...
I do agree with others who have stated that a much higher profile candidate would have taken the reigns if Democrats honestly thought that they could take Garrett's seat.
I would also expect to see the kind of financial committment to the 5th District race that marquee Dem candidates are getting in the 3rd and 7th District races. As far as I know, that has not happend yet (I heard some huge numbers were being thrown at Adler and Stender, no?).
Regardless, if Democrats couldn't take out Garrett in '04 with an incredibly-unpopular Bush at the top of the ticket and '06 when anti-Republican sentiment was running wild, why would Democrats think they'd have a chance now?
It's true that Garrett has his shortcomings. But I think he's far from being the wounded animal they depict. I still feel that it may ultimately work out in Garrett's favor.
For one thing, Bush is not running and McCain will be at the top of the ticket. He has proven to be popular enough in New Jersey. And while he's NOT popular enough to win the entire state, he's certainly popular in suburban-heavy North Bergen (not to mention North Passaic, Warren and Sussex Counties).
Its going to be hard for Shulman to chant "Change" when the Democratic lead Congress has an abyssmal approval ratings. Bush has a low approval rating, true, Congress is just as bad if not worse. It would be hard to side-step the fact that almost nothing has gotten accomplished by this Democratic Congress.
The War in Iraq is still an issue, but seems to no longer be front & center as it was in the past - we don't seem to hear as much negative news coming out of there as in '06 - and will proabably play a much lesser role in this election. But even if did play as significant a role, the Democrats in Congress have failed to deliver on their over-arching promise to bring troops home. A new spending bill was even approved in the last week for the war effort. If you are an anti-war dove in the rank n' file of the Democratic party, that has to irk you a bit. Shulman can't claim any of this as a goal since his own party - with a clear majority - has been unable to achieve it. What will he do as a Freshman that experienced Democrats in Congress couldn't do?
The economy and energy prices will be more of an issue now that we seem to be heading into a "recession" - but the high property taxes, rising unemployment rate, and overall economic dis-satisfaction will probably not play well when mixed with Obama continually talking of raising taxes and rolling back tax cuts. North Bergen is a pretty affulent area - and even affluent moderates like to hold onto their money longer; not sure if that message will play depending on how Shulman play it.
Additionally, I'm wondering if there is any lingering bad sentiments in the BCDO that could effect this fight? I don't know if Shulman has taken a stance in the Ferriero/Weinberg battle or the Lautenberg/Andrews fight. Is there any residual "split" there that could cause dis-unity? (I'm genuinely curious).
Garrett still has a lot of work to do and he's by no means in the clear, but it seems to me that the case aganist him was much stronger in the past.
Only my opinion.
Happy Friday everyone!
Veritas vos Liberabit
"Collecting more taxes than absolutely necessary is legalized robbery." - Calvin Coolidge
Cincinnatus Is a Stute!
Astute is good!
They key for Shulman is how intense, creative, dynamic and aggressive he's willing to be.
Garrett is a political pig who's "popularity" is due to the fact that most folks don't vote and most that do don't vote their interests.
Macain is Bush redux; Obama can win NJ and do so with large coat tails: IF the NJ Democratic party really unifies and runs a statewide campaign and registers an additional 500K dems. It's doable.
Lots of ifs there; but Garrett can be beaten.
From Frederick Douglass