McCain jumps over Giuliani in GOP poll
By Max Pizarro, PolitickerNJ.com Reporter
A new poll of 380 past Republican voters likely to vote in the Feb. 5th New Jersey primary shows Sen. John McCain leading former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani by 31-26% with 18% for former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney.
Conducted for a private client on Sunday through Tuesday by Neighborhood Research of Franklin, the survey has a theoretical margin of error of +/- 5.0% in 95% of cases.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee had 9% and U.S. Rep. Ron Paul had 4% of those surveyed. One percent of voters said they would vote for former Sen. Fred Thompson even though he dropped out Tuesday, and 12% were undecided. Respondents from Sunday and Monday who said they supported Thompson were reinterviewed Tuesday about their new preferences, and prior to dropping out, Thompson was receiving 8 percent of the vote.
"These voters are shifting heavily to Romney and this could be a sign that the former Massachusetts Governor is about to expand his support with conservatives with Thompson out of the race," said Rick Shaftan of Neighborhood Research. "83 percent of Thompson supporters considered themselves conservative -- higher than any other candidate."
Shaftan said among respondents who supported Thompson, 30% back Romney, 17% Giuliani, 9% Huckabee and just 4% for McCain.
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Syndicate
Guess "Optimistic Leadership"
has pessimistic chances!
Too bad
The only two true leaders in the group are Rudy and Mitt. Of course one might make an arguement for Huckaberry, but all he lead was Arkansas, and we know what a president who came from Arkansas can do. Although I respect McCain, what did he ever lead?
"The only man who never makes a mistake is the man who never does anything."
--Theodore Roosevelt--
Leadership
Well for starters, McCain was the commanding officer of the largeset attack squadron in the Navy.
No "Duces" or "Fuhrers" Need Apply
I am constantly amazed at how the notion of "leadership" has insidiously insinuated itself into our political language, particularly as it relates to elective office in the Executive Branch.
You can look until your eyes fall out, and will not see anything in the company manual either in the NJ Constitution or the U.S. Constitution requiring either the POTUS or the Governor to be a "strong leader". Leaders are only necessary where there are followers. Sheep need strong shepherds.
Conducting government in democratic republic is not a game of "follow the leader". Self-government requires an informed and alert citizenry whose members know what their elected officials are supposed to do . . . and not supposed to do. Otherwise, elections devolve into "reverse slave auctions" where the slaves get to pick their masters every four years. Like pretty much what we have now.
Ron Paul has no desire to be your daddy or mommy or your drill instructor. He has no desire to run your life, dictate the internal politics of other sovereign nations, or "run" the economy. He is not a "leader" in that sense. He is only suitable for the office of president of a democratic republic. Those looking for duces and fuhrers will not vote for him.
After all, empires need strong emperors . . .
A Fred Supporter who'll probably vote for McCain
I'll probably cast a reluctant vote for McCain, although I still might just cast a symbolic vote for Fred if the NJ primary does not appear close.
The way I look at it, the primary appears to be a two-man race and McCain is preferable to Rudy on at least some issues, plus he is far more electable in a general election - in part because of Rudy's personal baggage. Despite the above poll, I don't think Mitt has much of a shot in the NJ primary.
"Private client"?
Hmmm -- Neighborhood Research is part of Rick Shaftan's Mountaintop Media...
I'll give you one guess why Steve Lonegan really had this poll conducted.
Steve Lonegan was not the client.
FYI
Huckabee will surprise a lot of people in NJ
I posted this comment under the poll results:
I do not know who is polled for these polls and how many actual voters, who will show up at the polls on February 5 answer these questions. However, I do think that Mike Huckabee will surprise a lot of status quo Republicans in NJ. The theory that Giuliani would be the best for NJ Republicans because of his popularity here must be flashed down the drain by now. Mac is back slogan for McCain does not move me much. I like Mike. I feel that his direct and honest talk can connect with a lot of voters in NJ similarly to Ronald Reagan. Let's vot for Mike.
I would add here that winning Arkansas and being relected there is a plus for Mike. Nothing counts more than real experience in governing and running a real state. Sitting for 25 years in the US Senate counts for nothing in my opinion. Beating the Clinton machine in Arkansas should be appreciated by New Jersey Republicans who cannot even beat McGreevey machine.