Warner expected to step down tomorrow
By Wally EdgeBurlington County GOP Chairman Michael Warner will resign his post at 6PM tomorrow, sources say. Lobbyist Bill Layton is expected to become the next County Chairman.
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This is pretty stupid. The
This is pretty stupid. The Burlco Republicans are blaming Warner for all of their problems when the real problem is that their candidates and elected officials are increasingly out of touch with this county that is experiencing a major shift to the Democratic side. Also, the rampant corruption, such as at the bridge commission, has hurt them. Warner isn't to blame at all.
Sean K
Word on the street is that former Burl Co Rep Ex Director Sean Kennedy is about to announce his support for Fran Bodine.
Two points - first is that Fran Bodine is an extreme abuser of taxpayers through his pension abuse scam.
Second - Sean Kennedy sold his soul to Norcross for a couple of bucks - also in line with Fran Bodine - personal interest above public good.
Just like Fran, Sean will loose. Unfortunately for Sean, Fran's family has already gone through school. Sean has just screwed himself and his livelihood.
Wait a Moment
I agree no one blame one person for the faults however, you need to take a LONG look at who is out of touch. I am telling you again that Diane Allen is far from out of touch and she will win, Freeholder will be won by Joe Donnelly, and there is a very good chance that one or both seats in the 7th assembly will go GOP. In the 8th Dist, Phil Haines will win over Bodine, and it will be close in the assembly. But, Ron, the loss in Evesham was not so much a dem victory as it was the 3 that won were former GOPs who switched over issues; and many GOP supported them if only because they remember them as former GOP. Will those GOP support Bodine? No. But the lone dems on the Bridge Commission sat by quietly too as things happened so it is not a 1 way probloem,
hmmmmm
hmmmm
How is it possible for
How is it possible for Connors or Conaway to lose? I just can't see that. They win by 2-1 margins each time they run and this has got to be a bad year for Republicans. The state party chair has basically admitted it'll be a tough year, especially because of the state Democratic party's huge fundraising advantage. Add to that the Bush thing that I've written about before and this is bound to be a bad year for Republicans everywhere in the state. C & C's big win will help Dennison in what will be a huge upset over Allen. I think the freeholder race is a toss-up. Considering Kotch's big county-wide win just last year for surrogate, Bader could very likely pull off a win for freeholder. And, Bader surely has enough grist for his mill with the corruption issues that can be squarely blamed on the all Republican board of freeholders. In any case, the races in Burlco this year are going to be very fun to watch play out.
ron
I do like your over the top dreaming :)
Let me remind you of a few things;
The Bush factor IS old - trust me most people will vote their own backyards an d all the yapping about the war is old.
C&C do not have the pluralities they used to enjoy; they have only won by LESS than 2-1. Jean Stanfield and her running mate almost beat 1 of them a few years ago - Jean lost by less than 1,000 votes which is not good.
Kotch won by LESS THAN 2,000 votes, hardly a BIG country wide win, that was from the Bush factor.
Bader has NO name recognition - no one has heard of him even now people do not know him when asked who is running against Joe donnely for freeholder.
And again , you are deluding yourself thinking Diane will lose. Why would the dems pick a no-name to run against her> because no one else would step up to the plate. Please go back and take a good hard look at her numbers and how she wins and where she wins; that is not about to change.
AS far as corruption goes Ron, look in your own backyard. Dems are steaming with corruption up and down trenton. And, the Bush factor is over; some people will be voting like they did last year, but most people know Diane, Joe, Brian and Nancy are running agaisnt local candidates and NOT Bush.
gopgal08
I don't know where you are getting your information from, but it wont be close in the 8th District Assembly race, because Dawn Adiiego and Scott Rudder are head and shoulders above the competition. Addiego has been elected countywide three times and has poduced large pluralities. Scott Rudder hails from a key GOP town and he is a hard worker and campaigner. Let's look at their competition. Chris Fifis has never been elected to anything and his claim to fame is he sells over priced hamburgers. Tracy Riley spends 3 months as a Councilwoman in Mount Laurel before deciding to jump ship and run for Assembly. What next for Mrs. Riley...Is she going to run for Governor in 2009? The 8th district is the most solidly Republican District in South Jersey. Haines-Addiego-Rudder win by a landslide.
I'm dreaming? How is the
I'm dreaming? How is the Bush thing old? He gets more unpopular with everyday! You admit the Bush thing helped Kotch but it won't help Democrats this year when Bush is even less popular? Come on! When was it when C&C won by that close of a margin? I'm betting it was during the aftermath of the corrupt McGreevey stuff which made Democrats less popular at that time. Just like that Bush will make Republicans less popular this time. And just because he's new to politics doesn't make Dennison a no-name. People know him far and wide across the 7th. As far as your Republican team goes, they're really the no-names. Propp is only known by hardcore hockey fans of yesteryear and having been a hockey player doesn't mean squat in terms of qualifications for office. Does he even have a college education? Griffin is a complete unknown. Donnelly serving as councilman makes him an unknown outside of his town. Bader is a strong candidate but I admit he may have trouble getting known. So I'll put the freeholder race in the toss-up category.
Mazur Contracts For Sale
Evidently - Sean Kennedy's endorsement comes right on the heals of a Mazur contract in CamCo.
I know it is not shocking - and in NJ not illegal - but it does go to show you what these guys are all about: Fran double dips with his pension scheme and Sean sells out to Norcorss.
Scum...
7th and 8th District Registrations
In Allen v Dennison (7th district), Dems hold a 29-16% advantage over Republicans in party affiliation; thus, Allen will have to keep convincing voters that she isn't a Bush Republican (or a Republican for that matter), and I see Dennison giving her a strong challenge. (Ed. note: I argue otherwise here: http://www.bluejersey.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=4952
The Conaway-Connors Assembly team won last time by a 38k to 15k advantage, so I don't see their seats even remotely in peril.
In the 8th district, while Republicans hold a +7-8% registration advantage over Dems, Dems have been making inroads into the area, and Bodine is a well-liked, bipartisan figure. I agree with GOPgal that the Assembly seats are up for grabs, though.
There are four South Jersey senate seats where Dems have a realistic chance of winning, and thus making almost the entire South Jersey senate contingent Democratic: Dennison, Bodine, Whelan and Van Drew. I hope that we make a clean four for four sweep.
Interesting
When push comes to shove, Burlco GOP has always come through. Regardless of Bush, Diane has a proven record of helping and coming through for her constitutents. Dennison has no experiece nor does he have any proven ability to connect with seniors and vets they way Diane has. When all is said and done, Diane will win if only because of her experience. C&C really only win because of the part of Pennsauken that is stuck in Burlco. That gives them the edge. Do not discount Propp because name recognition goes a long way; also Ron, Nancy is a well known person in Burlco and Willingboro. Nancy and her husband have a combined 45 years of military service between the two of them and her work as an attorney and family advocate is well known. Ron, you keep talking about Bader having a big chance over Donnelly, but again, NO NAME recognition. Donnelly loves banging on doors and talking to people and they like him. Now, with the advent of Bodine jumping ship, he will not be able to pass Phil Haines. The GOP is very strong in Medford, Shamong, Southampton, Tabernacle AND Mt. Laurel. Plus, Phil has worked with people all over the County and he his well liked. I also agree the Rudder and Addiego have the edge (I re read my earlier post) because of the GOP stronghold in those towns. Unfortunately, I am very concerned about the mud slinging going to start in literature. I would still hope that on these boards that we can be civil! The Bush factor is going to be around - but most people voted against GOP last year because they could; not because they believed the dems were better. It was their vote against Bush.
gopgal
I definitely concur with you regarding the mud slinging. There is way too much of it on this site in the comments. I am glad that it hasn't appeared on this thread. Anyway, I totally agree with you on the 8th district. But, we're completely at odds on the 7th. Allen certainly has the advantage with name ID and experience. But, she also has plenty of baggage and a lot of the people I talk to around here are open to the idea of a change. And, how does Dennison have no experience helping seniors? I would imagine a funeral director works with seniors all the time. And Dennison has funeral homes which serve a significant portion of the district. His name ID through that should be pretty significant. Finally, Bader and Donnelly are probably both working their behinds off with knocking on doors and the like. Also Bader is a really likeable guy who is incredibly intelligent (He is a bigtime M.D. at the Hospital of the University of Penn). Couple that with Kotch's win just last year and I must stick to my belief that the freeholder race will be a toss-up.
Now this is funny
I was talking to a friend from Burlington and they told me that no one likes Sean Kennedy and that he will have a hard time finding recruits for his little group of anti-Republicans. Shared a little anecdote with me about Kennedy. It seems if you turn your back on Sean Kennedy and then turn back around you usually find a knife sticking out of your back.