Comments

Some Facts on the District 7


1) Sen. Kerry defeated Bush by 13k votes here.

2) Democrats have a double digit lead in voter identification over Republicans (13%, if I'm not mistaken).

3) The farther west one goes in BurlCo, generally speaking, the more Democratic the constituency, and the district is trending more, not less, Democratic.

4) Unless I'm mistaken, there's not a district in NJ currently held by a Dem or Repub Senator or Assemblyman that has more opposite party voters than district 7.

In sum, Dennison has more than a fair chance of picking up this seat in November just based upon the district's demographics.

08/03/07 9:57 am

Isn't it District 7?


Allen is line with most of her constituents and Dennison has nothing to offer from what we've seen. Allen by at least ten, and I think she brings in at least one GOP assembly member.

08/03/07 9:54 am

A fact for MartinOne


Diane Allen has been a good senator for her district and that is what matter more than party identification. Dennison is on his way to a bad loss.

08/03/07 10:11 am

Martin is a stone idiot


ONly someone filled with total misinformation and lies can try to pass themselves off as credible. Martin would not know anything if it bit him in the heine, especially about the 7th district. While reg dems out number reg GOP, it is the undeclared and the independents that OUTNUMBER both groups, And, Martin has a very hard time realizing that unlike him, most people today vote person not party, hence Diane Allens big wins over and over and over. People cross party lines because she is the BEST person for the job. Now, Marty, why dont you run back to your little basement and go back to work on your peanut butter castle! (courtesy of the film "benchwarmers") OH AND PSSSS: No one cares about Bush! He aint running against Diane Allen!~ Maybe you can tell Dennison that p>More Cowbell Please !!

08/03/07 5:35 pm

OH AND


More Cowbell Please !!

DIANE ALLEN BY 10%

08/03/07 5:39 pm

This poll is obviously


This poll is obviously remarkably unscientific. So take from it what you will. I know that it doesn't come close to how well Dennison is doing in the only place it matters, the 7th district. Martin is entirely correct about the demographics of district 7. Just wait until election day and you'll see what I mean.

08/03/07 6:36 pm

For Ronald


http://newjerseystateaflcio.forwardt.net/en_us/Endorsements%20-%20final%... Diane Endorsed by thed AFI CIO OH and again, you cannot seem to grasp that yes the demographics ARE dem, but dems like and keep electing Diane~

More Cowbell Please !!

08/03/07 9:22 pm

Gopgal


Big deal regarding that endorsement. Diane is the incumbent and she hasn't done anything to really tick them off. That's just like the situation where Asselta, a Republican, received the endorsement over Democrat Van Drew. Regardless of the endorsement, I can assure you that most members of labor in the 7th are hardcore Democrats and will be voting for Dennison.

08/03/07 9:35 pm

More Demographic Info


We're debating issues on another thread, but regarding demographics...

Besides the 13k advantage for Kerry over Bush, the 13% point advantage in registered Dem voters, and the growing number of Democrats in the district, Conaway and Conners won by an average of 31.5% over their Republican challengers in 2005. They will also be an advantage in pulling voters to the Dem ticket.

On a basic level, for those who aren't anywhere near the district, I can't underscore enough how Democratic towns like Maple Shade, Pennsauken and Willingboro are -- and how townships like Mount Holly and other towns are electing new Democratic leaders.

There's good reason that Allen is panicking and holding multiple fundraisers: Dennison is a strong challenger with a built-in demographic advantage in this Democratic-leaning district.

08/03/07 11:16 pm

Sour Grapes


Lets see, this poll on politics nj is not scientific because dennison is not in the lead, the demographics are not accurate because they keep electing diane, and the endorsement is flawed because they endorsed diane. Sounds very sad ronald

More Cowbell Please !!

08/03/07 11:18 pm

Alcohol.... For those who live in other parts of the state


The posts here and in other Dennison-Allen threads by gopgal08 just go to show that drinking alcohol heavily and posting on politicsnj should not go hand in hand, as the results are bizarre, pointless diatribes and personal attacks.

Again, for those of you who live in, say, Bergen Co., or places nowhere near BurlCo 7, my major point was to demonstrate just how Democratic this district is and how Conners and Conaway won by massive numbers last time. If I'm Joe K poster from Morris Co or Bergen Co., the only thing I know about this race is that Diane Allen is a former gubernatorial and senate candidate (we who live down here know that she's been asleep at the wheel, but that's another matter) with some statewide name recognition because of her previous failed campaigns. What I'm trying to communicate to those from elsewhere is that these towns are Democratic, the district is swinging more, not less, Democratic, and because of that, Dennison, who is also well-respected in the area, has a built-in demographic advantage.

Oh, and this AFL-CIO member is definitely behind Dennison for state senate. Labor united for Dennison!

08/04/07 9:12 am

gopgal08


You're a good poster but guess what, I've gotta fever, and the only prescription, is more COWBELL!!

"Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery."- Winston Churchill

08/04/07 11:44 am

Thank you Dino!


Extra just for you bubbie :) But, very simply put, Martin has no clue, he does not understand that just because demographics show more dem voters than GOP does not mean Dennison will win. Martin cannot understand that most dems in our district vote the PERSON NOT PARTY and while that is a scary concept to grasp, it is done over and over and over and that is why Diane will win, Dennison will go back to his hole and Martin will still try to sratch his head (or balls) and figure out why dems vote GOP!

More Cowbell Please !!

08/04/07 12:48 pm

Oh and


Dennison's nick name is "that guy running against Diane Allen>" No one knows or cares who he is and Martin who does not live in Burlington knows squat about the voting trend. Here are a couple of questions for those people who can actually think: 1. IN a bush bash year, how come the GOP Freeholder candidates Wujick and Haines win in a walk? 2. In a bush bash year how come GOP congressman Jim Saxton trounced his opponent? 3. IN a bush bash year, how come GOP Congressman Chris Smith won? If we are to believe Martin's tirades, NO GOP would have won at all, but here are three prime examples of people voting for their back yards and OTHER PEOPLE not party~! Diane Allen by 10%

More Cowbell Please !!

08/04/07 12:54 pm

Dennison's Chances


Even Gene Wilder doesn't like Dennison's chances!

"Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery."- Winston Churchill

08/04/07 2:44 pm

MartinOne - think about what you are saying


So - lets recap.  This is a a heavily Democratic district were the D's from the top down win handily -except for Diane Allen's seat.  Ms Allen is an anomaly. She won the first time because people knew her name, voice and face from TV.  They trusted her.  After over a decade in office, they still trust her.  To do the right thing.  To represent their best interests, even if it means going against her party.  Dennison can't beat that.  Conaway wants the senate seat so bad he can taste it.  But he knows he can't beat her.  So Dennison, the sacrificial lamb being led to slaughter, has probably been promised something somewhere if he puts up a good fight and and is a good boy.  Mark my words... Ms Allen has helped so many people in her district and beyond, that all Dennison is doing wilth his attacks is stirring up indignation.   

08/04/07 3:49 pm

Well Put


Unfortunately, Martin does not want to understand hard facts. He sees a democratic district and automatically assumes that it is all going that way. He is having a hard time understanding that MOST PEOPLE TODAY DO NOT VOTE PARTY LINES and that scares him. He does not even live in our district so his posts are even more idiotic and his "thousands of union brothers and sisters" cannot even vote because they dont live here. So the question remains why did they endorse diane? Because diane is a proven commodity; she is there for her residents and will continue to fight for us even after and beyond her win in november. Dennison will try to figure out how he got duped by his own party. Diane by 10%

More Cowbell Please !!

08/05/07 11:40 am

Generalized Platitudes vs. Facts


We know that certain hacks for the Allen campaign like gopgal08 only offer the same tired platitudes (Allen "is there for her residents") without offering any critique of the poor record of the Burlington senator.

Allen has no core political principles, only shifting positions that blow with the wind (voted for an asset monetization study, now comes out against it; calls herself an environmental champion but voted against brownstone restoration; criticizes the high property taxes, then votes against property tax relief). Now that the gubernatiorial and senatorial train has left the building for her, she is finally paying attention to her district; but only because the Dennison campaign is serious challenge to her lacksadaisacal "leadership" for the district.

Regarding shader411's comments, Allen herself said she is an "anomaly," she you're right about that. That said, when the state party that supports her is broke, and she is panicking by running fundraisers rather than listen to constituents, one wonders whether this is someone who cares more about constituents versus merely being in office and thus continuing the process of sleepwalking through her position in the senate. I don't think it is in the voters best interests, to answer that claim directly, to have someone like Allen, who is a close confidante of corrupt GOP oss Glenn Paulsen and has received thousands in donations from, is looking out for her constituents. She is a follower, not a leader, and offers nothing for her district.

08/05/07 2:20 pm

That's Funny, Mikey


Last I checked, the Democratic Party is nothing but a generalized platitude.

Your party has had absolutely no plan, no vision and no ability to lead for the last forty plus years. Your only message is that "Republicans suck" or "Anybody but a Republican."

If you're so keen on Rich Dennison, why don't you tell us a little bit about him. Tell us where he stands on the issues. Where does he stand on the property tax issue? Where does he stand on fighting political corruption? Where does he stand on the Eminent Domain issue?

What is his vision to best serve his potential constituents? How does he plan to serve them better than Diane Allen has?

Knowing you Blue Jersey wankers, Dennison's campaign slogan will probably be; "Vote for Rich Dennison because George Bush is the Devil."

"Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy, its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery."- Winston Churchill

08/05/07 6:38 pm

Good Luck Dino


Marty cannot offer anything because he does not know how! I cannot understand how diane allen helping residents is a platitude??? I thought IT WAS PART OF WHY SHE WAS ELECTED!! Dennison has no platform unfortunately other than bashing President Bush. If you read his articles here you will see that is what he is banking on and Ronald Luvitz and Martin have said because of the low approval rating of Bush that will pull Dennison across and that is so not true! All we know about Dennison is that outside of a family business and his becoming an attorney, he really has no experience or knowledge on what it takes to be a State Senator and what it takes to make your residents happy. Diane allen by 10%

More Cowbell Please !!

08/05/07 7:59 pm